28 July 2005

A Plea for Gaea

This month’s National Geographic (I think it’s the August issue on newsstands) includes a cover article with a lot of fascinating information about the current landscape of world energy concerns. One of the key ideas the author used that I simply ate up was when he threw out the idea that the US is a hunter gatherer looking for new sources of fossil fuels whereas Europe is a farmer, attempting to harness the clean energy sources of the sun and wind (and even tides) through energy farms that seek to build a cheap, clean, renewable energy future. Denmark has built a few wind turbines that are more than twice the height of the Statue of Liberty and produce enough power for 5,000 homes. Germany has wind farms and solar farms aplenty. Meanwhile, in the US, we are more dependent than ever on dirty fossil fuels. More and more people migrate every year to the Sun Belt states, yet solar panels do not follow, and we miss out on huge potential energy projects as the government continues to overlook or veto future-oriented energy policies. While Europe tries to carve out a clean vision for the future, with Kyoto and these forward thinking energy practices (Denmark supplies 20% of its power through wind turbines; the US, less than 1%), the US and the developing world create increasing amounts of smog as fossil fuel supplies dwindle ever further and push toward global conflict over minimal supplies.

The article is packed with interesting facts that “environmental engineers” and the like will try to hide from the average consumer citizen. Consider the discovery by the NYTimes that hybrid cars in the US are no longer being developed for fuel efficiency purposes but rather as a means to increase horsepower to satisfy the comical machismo that pervades American auto culture. Of course, these cars still qualify for an environmentally friendly tax rebate… the good news is that they usually do still boost fuel efficiency, but only by, say, 2 mpg rather than 20. The Toyota Prius and the Honda Civic hybrid models legitimately achieve geo-friendliness with incredible mpg ratings. The rest largely do not. Furthermore, back to the main article, the author cites how even fuel cells are not a real solution, as it takes energy to produce the hydrogen needed to run a fuel cell. Right now that energy comes largely from fossil fuels. So even if we develop zero emissions, green automobiles, we still burn fossil fuels in the creation of hydrogen….right now. That’s not to say that wind, solar, or nuclear energy can’t be used just as well. A final point: the dangers of an accident aside, nuclear power is often presented as a green choice for power supply as well. But even with further advances in technology, nuclear power depends on some of the rarest elements on earth, and there is less of a supply of them then there is of the core fossil fuels. We’ll essentially be cached out of uranium and plutonium in 50 years, maybe 75 if we accept some technological advances to improve usage. So we still have no solution….. there is the constant race to discover sustainable fusion, which has some long term hopes. And hydropower, but that is largely fully developed as well—and it has many harmful environmental consequences.

I’ll leave you with a thought from the article: In some ways, this energy dilemma is more pressing than the war on terrorism. And the US is going about it the wrong way. We can keep fighting wars and improving our exploratory efforts to find new fossil fuels, but there is only so much out there, and eventually it will all be gone. The product of solar energy beating down on life on this earth over millions and millions of years, we’re using it all up in 150-200 years. And killing the environment and changing the climate while we’re at it. But why is it more important than terrorism? With terrorism, we can always endure and press forward—look at the Brits as a model for this. Or many other people on the face of this planet… terrorism does not fully endanger our open society. It is a huge threat, but not so much as the problem with energy. The lack of clean, efficient, cheap, reliable energy will mean an end to our high tech life style. We currently depend on fossil fuels for essentially all our big energy needs, to heat and cool our homes, refrigerate our food, fly our jets, drive our cars, etc etc etc. And on top of all that, they are the source of plastics and countless other products. We will not find a panacea. But we need to start working in overdrive to find something close.


On a related note, recent previous issues of National Geographic have dealt with other global resources, like water. Consider how the American Southwest is currently in a drought exponentially worse than the famed Dust Bowl, essentially because drought is a combination of supply and demand and demand has grown at an incredible rate in that part of the country. Nonetheless, many a citizen continues to water their lawn and fill up their pool and otherwise make frivolous use of precious hydro-resources as the aquifers and water supplies are tapped and drained beyond repair. These things take thousands and thousands of years to fill up, and we’re draining them over the course of a mere few decades. Well, either the cost of water will spike and we’ll curtail our usage, just as is every so slowly happening with oil….. or we’ll adjust to higher prices until we wake up one morning and realize that there was a reason for the high prices, as our taps run dry. I don’t have the statistical resources at my disposal to hand out a timeframe like I usually try to, but we’re already seeing water issues spread across the globe, particularly in Africa, where the country of Niger and other areas of mostly Western Sub-Saharan Africa are being absorbed in to Saharan African as the desert encroaches ever farther south as poor land use, a lack of water, and overpopulation combine to allow desertification run rampant and induce horrible famines that the Western media overlooks.

With that, I close today’s post of doom and gloom. You may now return to your dinners and drinks and blissful ignorance.

3 comments:

Anonymous said...

I largely agree with you comments on the lack of environmental concern in the U.S., especially with the increasing consumption of fossil fuels.

With regards to automobiles, I will point out a few important issues that have led to a lack of popularity with regards to hybrid vehicles.

First, I don't understand (and please provide input here) why we are so focused on gasoline-electric hybrids. We are still using fossil fuels to charge batteries, so is it really all that great we are using electric and not just gasoline as a means of fuel?

Second, we just do not have the means to compensate for hybrid vehicle usage. They have proven deadly for rescuers (fire/ems) because the available equipment is just not around in quantity to execute a successful extrication, for example. Care fires in these vehicles can also be deadly.

And lastly, there needs to be a weight limit on new vehicles. WHY would anyone buy a 1200lb hybrid vehicle that is surrounded by 7,000 lb SUVs...I mean tanks. If other vehicles were the same size, weight, wheelbase as my hybrid, sure, but I'm hesitant to get in a car that can be squashed to a pulp in a simple 9I.

Steve said...

Shamit,

I'll address each point in turn and hope to hear back:

1) We're essentially locked down to an interim gasoline-based solution because of the power of Big Oil, among other reasons. Advanced engine technology has effectively been stagnated as automakers concentrate on higher horsepower rather than higher efficiency, oil until recently has been cheap, and the oil/auto lobbying groups bankroll much of Washington. Thus little progress on non-fossil fuel based alternatives. Most of the world's biggest companies are either energy or auto companies, and that dollar power shows in legislation. Furthermore, other solutions like ethanol are not really much better for the environment. Real solutions just have not yet been reached that free us from petroleum's shackles. Research is quietly progressing, but not at the fast pace it would if real passion and money were being poured in to it. We have yet to admit the crisis, and so we persist in our stubborn paths.

2. Can you explain more about the issue with accidents? Why is it more complicated with hybrids? Is it because of battery fires? I'm not totally following, but I'm curious to learn more from that angle.

3. I think we need an effective sea change in the American mentality. We can't keep buying big just because everyone else is. If we want to be higher up so we can see the road and what not, maybe we should subtly try to win our neighbors over to the same car/compact idea of thinking. We simply don't need people driving hummers on our highways. SUVs and trucks have their uses, but not at the level they're being used. And luxury/sport cars should conform in some fashion to these regulations as well, far better than they presently are. I agree a weight limit would be a great way to start with this solution....that and some emissions/efficiency standards that most SUVs currently are able to bypass by being classified as trucks even though they are being used as cars.

Anonymous said...

Mostly for Shamit,

We're so focused on gas/electric hybrids b/c at present they're the only ready alt technology (as far as personal vehicles are concerned). YES, it is great that we are using electric and not just gasoline as a fuel. While the intial charge on the battery (and of course building the battery) consumes electricity that probably originates as coal, uranium, or things worse, nearly all models in production right now utilize regenerative braking - in which the battery is recharged by the turning of the wheels as the car slows down. The owners for the most part aren't plugging the car in at home to recharge.
I see anything that reduces the amount of foreign oil we use as a good thing. While the inital electricity mostly comes from fossil fuels (coal being the most common), we do have the opportunity and means to utilize alt. sources (wind, solar) to produce electicity, while oil is pretty much a dead end.